CAC40: rise accelerates, rates ease further

(CercleFinance.com) - The Paris stock market is accelerating its advance and closing in on +1% (towards 8,030) at the start of the week, driven by Teleperformance (+5.
5%) ahead of Axa (+2.5%) and Schneider (+2%).

The Euro-Stox50n also gained +1% towards 4,970, and chartists are predicting a return to contact with the 5,000 mark imminently.

This contradicts the old stock market proverb "Sell in May, then walk away".

We have re-examined this market adage and found that it is much more than just a cliché", emphasize the teams at J. Safra Sarasin.

"Indeed, performance during the summer months has always been weaker, across all regions, sectors and time periods", the private bank reminds us.

We still expect equities to rise between now and the end of the year, but the next few months are likely to follow the usual seasonal pattern, with only moderate growth", it adds.

Indeed, investors seem to be waiting for just one thing in the near future: for the Federal Reserve to finally decide to cut rates, a prospect that remains shrouded in the utmost vagueness.

Among the few indicators on this week's agenda, the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index on Friday will give us a better idea of the current mood of American households.

In Europe, the services PMI indices - which had provided some pleasant surprises in their preliminary versions - could turn out to be a little less flattering in their final versions today.

Still on the statistics front, in March 2024 compared with the previous month, industrial producer prices fell by 0.4% in the eurozone and by 0.5% in the EU, according to Eurostat estimates, following decreases of 1.1% in the eurozone and 1% in the EU in February.

In the eurozone, industrial producer prices rose by 0.4% for non-durable consumer goods, by 0.1% for other goods, and fell by 1.8% for energy. Excluding energy, they rose by 0.2%.
Bond markets continued their upward trend, with yields on OATs and BUNDS down 6pts (to 2.955% and 2.45% respectively), while T-Bonds erased 3pts to 4.47%.

Among the companies yet to publish their quarterly results, American entertainment giant Disney, British chipmaker Arm and oil group BP will announce theirs this week.

Several French companies will also publish their results this week, including Alstom, Arkema and Bouygues.

The Paris market will be open on Wednesday and Thursday for the Armistice Day on May 8, 1945, and for Ascension Day, but should be relatively inactive on these two French public holidays.

Volumes are likely to remain limited today as the London Stock Exchange closes for the 'Early May Bank Holiday'.

In French company news, Atos confirms that last Friday it received four financial proposals to provide new liquidity as part of the ongoing conciliation procedure from a group of bondholders and banks, Bain Capital, EP Equity Investment (controlled by Daniel Kretinsky in partnership with Attestor Limited) and Onepoint (controlled by David Layani in consortium with Butler Industries).

Maurel & Prom announces that it has received a specific license from the US Treasury Department's OFAC for its consolidated 40% stake in the mixed company Petroregional del Lago (PRDL), which operates the Urdaneta Oeste field in Venezuela.

SES announced on Monday that it had been selected by Colombian telecom operator Inred to provide broadband connectivity services in remote areas of the Amazon.


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