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Pernod Ricard: Oddo cuts target price

(CercleFinance.com) - Oddo BHF maintains its Neutral rating on the stock, although lowers its target price for it to E125 (from E140) following a company contact.


Group sales are expected to decline further in Q2 24/25: -2.6% vs. -5.9% in Q1 24/25. A sequential improvement, indeed, although still no recovery in sight, in addition to a still difficult and uncertain context in both the US (20% of group sales) and China (10% of group sales), the broker says.

This downward revision is mainly due to China. We are now expecting a -25% organic decline in sales in Q2 24/25, compared with -10% previously, Oddo BHF explains.

In Europe, we understand that inflation continues to affect consumption, in addition to the unfavorable weather conditions which, in Q2 24/25, continue to affect markets such as Spain. We expect Q2 sales to be stable on an organic basis, compared with +2.3% previously, the analyst adds.

Oddo BHF now expects organic sales and EBIT to fall by 1.6% and 2.5% respectively, representing a deterioration in EBIT margin of 42 bp, of which -25 bp on an organic basis, for a landing of 26.4%.


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